Traction in
Energy Storage
FUNDAMENTALS HOLD THE PRICE SUPPORT
In sync with prices of other base metals, lead prices too headed south amid intensifying trade disputes between the US and China. Weakening global economy, spread of COVID-19 and falling automotive sales were other factors exerting a downward pressure on lead prices. The average lead prices were at $1,952 per tonne during the year, down by 8% over FY 2018-19. LME stocks remained flat during the year.
Average Lead LME Cash Settlement Prices
($/t )
LEAD DEMAND-SUPPLY DYNAMICS
Slowing global economic activity combined with the pandemic outbreak has also affected the lead consumption globally, as demand contracted by 0.8% during FY 2019-20. Overall, the lead market was balanced with higher production from secondary smelters partly offsetting the decline in primary lead production.
LME Prices and LME Stocks
OUTLOOK
Mine production amid the COVID-19 lockdown is expected to contract by 8.2% in CY 2020 and contraction in demand is expected at 5-6%, likely to rebound in CY 2021, bringing the lead market back into balance. Rising adoption of lead-acid batteries due to their lower cost of storage, improved charging time and energy transfer rate will boost demand for lead over the next few years.
Trends in Production and Consumption
(mine production, kt)
(production at secondary refineries, kt)
(consumption, kt)
(production at primary smelters, kt)
(refined lead production, kt)
Source: Wood Mackenzie
OPPORTUNITIES IN THE INDIAN MARKET
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